Wednesday, 4 January 2012

Jupiter's heart is dissolving

Even the mighty can lose heart. New calculations suggest that Jupiter's rocky core is dissolving like an antacid tablet plopped in water.
The work could help explain why its core appears smaller and its atmosphere richer in heavy elements than predicted.
Giant planets like Jupiter and Saturn are thought to have begun their lives as solid bodies of rock and ice. When they grew to about 10 times the mass of Earth, their gravity pulled in gas from their birth nebula, giving them thick atmospheres made mainly of hydrogen.
Curiously, some studies have suggested that Jupiter's core may weigh less than 10 Earths, while the core of its smaller sibling Saturn packs a bigger punch at 15 to 30 Earths. Last year, researchers led by Shu Lin Li of Peking University in China offered a grisly explanation – a rocky planet bigger than Earth slammed into Jupiter long ago, vaporising most of the giant planet's core.

That scenario could also explain another mystery – why Jupiter's atmosphere contains a higher fraction of heavy elements than the sun, whose composition is thought to mirror that of the nebula that gave birth to the solar system's planets.
Now Hugh Wilson and Burkhard Militzer of the University of California, Berkeley, suggest a competing – though no less macabre – explanation: Jupiter's core has gradually been dissolving since its formation 4.5 billion years ago.

Quantum calculations

Other researchers had propoposed that the intense pressures and temperatures at Jupiter's heart might cause its core to dissolve into the surrounding atmosphere, which is at such high pressure that it behaves somewhat like a liquid.
"We sat down to figure out, does this actually happen?" says Wilson.
The researchers used the equations of quantum mechanics to see how the mineral magnesium oxide – thought to be a constituent of Jupiter's core – behaves at Jupiter-like pressures of about 40 million Earth atmospheres and temperatures of 20,000 °C. Such conditions cannot be recreated in Earth labs – some experiments can approximate the pressures but overshoot the temperatures by factors of a hundred or so.

Mixed up

They found that magnesium oxide does indeed dissolve into its fluid surroundings in those conditions. "You can think of it as if you have some salt in the bottom of a glass. Pour warm water on the salt and it will start to dissolve in the glass, with salty water in the bottom and less salty water at the top," says Wilson.
He suspects that the dissolved rock might get mixed into the rest of the atmosphere over time. "It could at least partially explain both the enrichment of heavy elements in the outer atmosphere and also the fact that its core may be smaller than [formation] models would suggest," Wilson says.
The calculation also suggests why Saturn – which is about one-third the mass of Jupiter – seems to have a heftier core. Conditions inside the ringed planet are simply not as extreme as they are inside Jupiter, so if Saturn's core is dissolving at all, "it will be a lot slower", says Wilson.

Heartless planets

The process probably happens much more rapidly in planets more massive than Jupiter, the team thinks. Dave Stevenson of the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena agrees. "Core erosion is probably more effective as the mass goes up," he says.
"I suspect that for very large 'super-Jupiters', you would have no core at all," says Wilson. If so, this should boost the concentration of heavy elements in their atmospheres, which future telescopes might be able to detect, he says.
Does the fact that Jupiter's heart is dissolving sadden Wilson? Quite the opposite, he says. "It's kind of a sign that Jupiter is still forming – it hasn't yet settled down into a steady state."

Smart Guide to 2012: The US cyber election

The way we live our lives online will make it easier for US presidential candidates to target their message

Do you live in Ohio and tweet about your church? The Republicans would like to have a word with you. Live in California and post pictures of your Toyota Prius? Barack Obama would like you to start a fundraising page.
The US presidential election in November 2012 is likely to be the most data-intensive campaign in history. The reason? We are sharing more information about ourselves - our interests, social connections and online behaviour - than ever. Savvy candidates can increasingly use this data to predict how we are likely to vote, which of us to target and how best to reach us.
In 2008, Obama's campaign used online social networks to not only get the word out, but also to track which issues groups of voters cared about most. They built computer models of voting districts that helped determine where to best focus money and volunteers during last minute, on-the-ground campaigning.
2012 could see campaigns bring this kind of data-assisted decision-making to the level of individual voters. Campaign strategists have long combined voter registration data with consumer databases and census information to construct voter profiles consisting of thousands of variables, such as the size of someone's house, or what magazines they read. Now these profiles can be beefed-up with real-time analysis of political sentiment via Twitter and blog posts.
Detailed information about individual voter interests and key political issues could also allow campaigns to craft narrowly targeted messages. Do you tweet about your love for Battlestar Galactica? Don't be surprised if the political messages you see online through banner ads or sponsored links are tailored towards a candidate's stance on science or space exploration.
Whether this kind of customised campaigning comes across as charming or creepy remains to be seen. But with about half of all Americans now on Facebook, voters will have to get used to campaigns using their information in all kinds of ways. Combine these huge data sets with sophisticated prediction algorithms and 2012 could mark the rise of the ultimate political machine.